Trump Caved In To Israeli Pressure
This morning (Singapore time ), Trump ordered the bombing of 3 Iranian nuclear sites at Natanz, Isfahan and most importantly Fordow ( the underground nuclear facility ) buried deep in the mountains about 30 km from the holy city of Qom. A short while ago, Trump made a statement to the Nation claiming that the strikes were a spectacular success and that the facilities had been destroyed. We shall see in the coming days from the intelligence reports whether this is actually true. I do not believe Fordow can be destroyed save with tactical nuclear wespons which were not used.
I do not believe Trump wanted to bomb Iran. Only 2 days ago, he said he was giving himself 2 weeks to decide whether to take military action. He was hoping for a negotiated settlement with Iran. But the war criminal and corrupt Netanyahu would not allow it. Just as he ordered the bombing of Iran before the Americans and Iranians could hold the decisive 6th round of talks last Sunday, he and his team got on the phone with Trump, JD Vance and Pete Hegseth on Thursday and barked thar immediate action was required and the 2 week wait was unwarranted.
JD Vance apparently did not want America to be involved but Trump obviously wanted to help Netanyahu and so ordered the strike. As Bill Clinton said a few days ago, Netanyahu has no desire for peace and only wants to continue fighting because he wants to remain in power. He is facing a raft of corruption charges. Once again Netanyahu was out to scupper any chance of a negptiated settlement.
Trump ended his post on Truth Social declaring that Iran must now make peace. I am afraid that is a pipe-dream. The Iranians had already warned that if America attacked them, they would retaliate.America has many bases in the Middle-East, all within easy reach of Iranian short and medium range missiles. If American soldiers start dying from these attacks or if American assets such as an aircraft-carrier are sunk, the American public will turn against Trump.
I do not believe the Iranians will take this lying down. I believe there is bound to be retaliation. Simplistic minds think that the Americans will easily defeat Iran. That is far from the truth. Iran is a continental power, the size of Germany, France and Italy combined. It is not going to cave in just because its targets have been hit. Even if all its nuclear sites are destroyed, so what? The State survives. All this talk of an uprising and regime change is nonsense. The Iranian people today are more united than ever. If your country is attacked, will you help the enemy by overthrowing the government ? A big country can absorb a lot of punishment without folding. In the 80s, Iran fought a 8 year war against Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. Iran lost over a million men and had the most rudimentary weapons when Saddam was armed by America and the West. Iran today is a far more militarily advanced nation than it was at that time.
People underestimate the Iranians. They have in place a very clever war plan which they have honed for 20 years. They have expected this war for the last 30 years. They will prolong the war because when it is a war of attrition, they know they can crush Israel which cannot afford a long war. Israel cannot sustain a long campaign. Israel can never defeat Iran on its own which was why Netanyahu was desperate to draw the Americans in. If the Iranians continue lobbing ballistic and hypersonic missiles into Tel Aviv and Haifa every day, the Israeli economy will be destroyed, and Israel will cease to exist.
I am also not confident of American staying power. Just think of Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq. When the body bags start arriving home, Americans will want out of this war. As Ehud Barak, the former PM of Israel and decorated general observed a few days ago, the last time America won a war was 75 years ago!